Geelong v Collingwood
M.C.G.
11.12
78
15.17
107
Match complete
Collingwood won by 29 points
IN
Bews
Menegola
Menzel
Thurlow
OUT
IN
Smith
Dunn
Reid
Ramsay
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 76% | 30 points | ✗ | 59.5 | -1.04 | |
83% | ✗ | -1.59 | ||||
83% | 43 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -1.56 | ||
79% | 34 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -1.23 | ||
Punters | 75% | ✗ | -1.03 | |||
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.90 | ||
73% | 39 points | ✗ | 68.0 | -0.88 | ||
71% | 28 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.79 | ||
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 45.9 | -0.66 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.