Fremantle v Geelong
Subiaco
10.13
73
18.7
115
Match complete
Geelong won by 42 points
IN
Hamling
McCarthy
Johnson
Griffin
Kersten
Suban
Hill
Fyfe
Pavlich
Mayne
Ballantyne
Sheridan
de Boer
Silvagni
Yarran
Apeness
OUT
IN
Stewart
Parfitt
Horlin-Smith
Ruggles
Cockatoo
Thurlow
Murdoch
Menzel
Tuohy
Enright
Guthrie
Caddy
Smith
Bartel
Kolodjashnij
Bews
Selwood
Menegola
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 18.4 | 0.44 |
 |
|
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.64 |
 |
|
72% | 25 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.53 |
 |
|
71% | 29 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.51 |
 |
|
70% | 29 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.49 |
 |
|
67% | ✓ | 0.41 | ||
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
62% | 20 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.31 |
| Punters | |
57% | ✓ | 0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.