Hawthorn v Geelong
M.C.G.
6.12
48
20.14
134
Match complete
Geelong won by 86 points
IN
Hardwick
O'Brien
Sicily
Hartung
Vickery
Whitecross
O'Meara
Miles
OUT
IN
Cockatoo
McCarthy
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
65% | 17 points | ✓ | 68.8 | 0.38 |
 |
|
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.59 |
| Punters | |
68% | ✓ | 0.43 | ||
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 71.0 | 0.42 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 70.5 | 0.38 |
 |
|
64% | ✓ | 0.36 | ||
 |
|
64% | 23 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 72.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 79.0 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.