Adelaide v Essendon
Adelaide Oval
24.9
153
13.10
88
Match complete
Adelaide won by 65 points
IN
Menzel
McGovern
OUT
IN
McKenna
Green
Gleeson
Hocking
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
89% | 61 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.84 |
 |
|
96% | 70 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.94 |
 |
|
95% | 60 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.93 |
 |
|
94% | 72 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.91 |
 |
|
91% | 68 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.86 |
 |
|
91% | 49 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.86 |
 |
|
88% | ✓ | 0.82 | ||
| Punters | |
83% | ✓ | 0.72 | ||
 |
|
76% | 46 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.60 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.