Essendon v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
17.14
116
12.19
91
Match complete
Essendon won by 25 points
IN
McGrath
Colyer
Watson
Hurley
Hooker
Fantasia
Stanton
Green
Baguley
Heppell
Dempsey
Leuenberger
Bird
Dea
Merrett
Brown
McKenna
Laverde
Kommer
Long
OUT
IN
O'Meara
Henderson
Vickery
Langford
Roughead
Mitchell
Mitchell
Hodge
Lewis
Hill
Whitecross
Fitzpatrick
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
79% | 41 points | ✗ | 65.5 | -1.28 |
 |
|
88% | 60 points | ✗ | 85.0 | -2.06 |
 |
|
86% | 46 points | ✗ | 71.0 | -1.83 |
 |
|
84% | ✗ | -1.64 | ||
 |
|
84% | 35 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -1.60 |
 |
|
82% | 51 points | ✗ | 76.0 | -1.47 |
 |
|
78% | 25 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -1.18 |
| Punters | |
69% | ✗ | -0.67 | ||
 |
|
66% | 26 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.56 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.