North Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
12.14
86
12.17
89
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 3 points
IN
Simpkin
Thompson
Clarke
Durdin
OUT
IN
Dunkley
Smith
Daniel
Biggs
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
67% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.8 | 0.42 |
| Punters | |
74% | ✓ | 0.57 | ||
 |
|
71% | 21 points | ✓ | 17.9 | 0.50 |
 |
|
71% | 19 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.50 |
 |
|
68% | 23 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.44 |
 |
|
67% | ✓ | 0.41 | ||
 |
|
63% | 17 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.33 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
60% | 16 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.