Essendon v North Melbourne

Docklands

125

108

Match complete
Essendon won by 17 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 19.1-0.06
North Melbourne
56% 7 points 24.0-0.18
North Melbourne
56% 6 points 23.0-0.17
North Melbourne
55% 5 points 22.0-0.15
North Melbourne
54% 5 points 21.8-0.13
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 20.5-0.13
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 21.0-0.13
Punters
North Melbourne
52% -0.07
North Melbourne
51% 1 point 18.0-0.04
North Melbourne
51% 1 point 18.0-0.01
Essendon
51% 1 point 16.00.01
Essendon
53% 3 points 14.00.09
Essendon
57% 5 points 12.00.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018