Essendon v North Melbourne

Docklands
19.11
125
16.12
108

Match complete
Essendon won by 17 points

IN
Colyer
Ambrose
Green
Redman
OUT
IN
Clarke
Hartung
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
North Melbourne
52% 2 points 19.1-0.06
Footy Maths Institute
North Melbourne
56% 7 points 24.0-0.18
Stattraction
North Melbourne
56% 6 points 23.0-0.17
Swinburne
North Melbourne
55% 5 points 22.0-0.15
Matter of Stats
North Melbourne
54% 5 points 21.8-0.13
PlusSixOne
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 21.0-0.13
Squiggle
North Melbourne
54% 4 points 20.5-0.13
Punters
North Melbourne
52% -0.07
The Arc
North Melbourne
51% 1 point 18.0-0.04
HPN
North Melbourne
51% 1 point 18.0-0.01
Graft
Essendon
51% 1 point 16.00.01
Live Ladders
Essendon
53% 3 points 14.00.09
Massey Ratings
Essendon
57% 5 points 12.00.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018