Melbourne v St Kilda

M.C.G.

117

119

Match complete
St Kilda won by 2 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
80% 31 points 33.0-1.29
Melbourne
93% 45 points 47.0-2.83
Punters
Melbourne
86% -1.84
Melbourne
85% 37 points 39.0-1.74
Melbourne
84% 37 points 39.0-1.64
Melbourne
81% 30 points 32.0-1.40
Melbourne
80% 31 points 33.0-1.34
Melbourne
80% 29 points 30.9-1.29
Melbourne
77% 31 points 32.6-1.14
Melbourne
77% 26 points 28.0-1.12
Melbourne
74% 32 points 34.0-0.94
Melbourne
73% 26 points 28.0-0.90
Melbourne
65% 17 points 19.0-0.51

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018