Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn

Sydney Showground
13.17
95
13.6
84

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 11 points

IN
Lobb
Cameron
OUT
IN
Glass
Ceglar
Burgoyne
Gunston
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 0.90.27
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
71% 23 points 11.60.51
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
71% 18 points 6.70.50
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.36
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.35
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.35
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
64% 12 points 1.00.35
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
63% 16 points 5.00.33
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
62% 0.32
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 1.00.26
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 9.00.06
Stattraction
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 12.0-0.03
HPN
Hawthorn
59% 7 points 18.0-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018