Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn

Sydney Showground

95

84

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 11 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 0.90.27
Greater Western Sydney
71% 23 points 11.60.51
Greater Western Sydney
71% 18 points 6.70.50
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.35
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.35
Greater Western Sydney
64% 13 points 2.00.36
Greater Western Sydney
64% 12 points 1.00.35
Greater Western Sydney
63% 16 points 5.00.33
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
62% 0.32
Greater Western Sydney
60% 10 points 1.00.26
Greater Western Sydney
52% 2 points 9.00.06
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 12.0-0.03
Hawthorn
59% 7 points 18.0-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018