Gold Coast v Collingwood
Carrara
8.12
60
14.15
99
Match complete
Collingwood won by 39 points
IN
Powell
Crossley
Thompson
May
Lynch
Ah Chee
Day
Leslie
OUT
IN
Sier
Crocker
Treloar
Greenwood
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 81% | 34 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.70 | |
92% | 50 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.88 | ||
88% | 38 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.81 | ||
Punters | 88% | ✓ | 0.81 | |||
88% | 42 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.81 | ||
87% | 44 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.80 | ||
83% | 34 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.73 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 33 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.66 | ||
78% | 35 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.64 | ||
76% | 35 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.60 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.52 | ||
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.