Gold Coast v Hawthorn
Carrara
21.13
139
7.11
53
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 86 points
IN
Fiorini
Harbrow
Matera
Ah Chee
Leslie
Ainsworth
OUT
IN
Brand
Whitecross
Birchall
Stewart
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
65% | 20 points | ✗ | 106.2 | -0.53 |
 |
|
72% | 30 points | ✗ | 116.0 | -0.84 |
 |
|
68% | 24 points | ✗ | 110.0 | -0.64 |
| Punters | |
67% | ✗ | -0.61 | ||
 |
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 104.0 | -0.58 |
 |
|
66% | 26 points | ✗ | 112.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 101.5 | -0.51 |
 |
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 94.0 | -0.31 |
 |
|
59% | ✗ | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.