Western Bulldogs v Geelong

Docklands
16.7
103
15.11
101

Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 2 points

IN
Lynch
Jong
Daniel
Honeychurch
OUT
IN
Narkle
Guthrie
Taylor
McCarthy
Guthrie
Gregson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
75% 24 points 26.2-0.98
Massey Ratings
Geelong
84% 34 points 36.0-1.69
Punters
Geelong
83% -1.54
Swinburne
Geelong
82% 34 points 36.0-1.47
Graft
Geelong
78% 26 points 28.0-1.17
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
75% 33 points 35.0-1.00
HPN
Geelong
75% 23 points 25.0-0.98
Squiggle
Geelong
73% 25 points 27.1-0.90
The Arc
Geelong
72% 20 points 22.0-0.81
Live Ladders
Geelong
71% 19 points 21.0-0.80
PlusSixOne
Geelong
69% 19 points 21.0-0.68
Matter of Stats
Geelong
68% 17 points 18.8-0.64
Stattraction
Geelong
66% 16 points 18.0-0.54

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 15, 2018