Gold Coast v North Melbourne
Carrara
12.19
91
4.4
28
Gold Coast won by 63 points
IN
MacPherson
Sexton
Harbrow
Lemmens
OUT
IN
Daw
Hall
Mahony
Xerri
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 63.9 | -0.00 | |
66% | 11 points | ✗ | 74.0 | -0.56 | ||
63% | 18 points | ✗ | 81.0 | -0.43 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 69.9 | -0.30 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 69.5 | -0.28 | ||
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.03 | ||
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 63.0 | 0.00 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 63.0 | 0.02 | ||
s10
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 61.1 | 0.07 | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 60.3 | 0.08 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 61.0 | 0.09 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.10 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 57.7 | 0.16 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 56.9 | 0.21 | ||
Punters
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 56.4 | 0.26 | |
62% | 6 points | ✓ | 57.4 | 0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.