Carlton v Collingwood
Gabba
7.6
48
10.12
72
Collingwood won by 24 points
IN
Polson
Dow
Petrevski-Seton
Cottrell
OUT
IN
Brown
Quaynor
Stephenson
Brown
Mihocek
Sidebottom
Varcoe
Greenwood
Ruscoe
Appleby
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.11 | |
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.26 | ||
58% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.21 | ||
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.4 | 0.20 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.4 | 0.14 | ||
s10
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.11 | |
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.08 | ||
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.2 | 0.08 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.1 | 0.08 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 22.5 | 0.06 | ||
Punters
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 22.7 | 0.01 | |
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.01 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.01 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.13 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.