Melbourne v St Kilda
Traeger Park
8.4
52
7.7
49
Melbourne won by 3 points
IN
Rivers
Wagner
Brown
McDonald
Jones
Gawn
Harmes
McDonald
Fritsch
Lockhart
Preuss
Sparrow
OUT
IN
Phillips
Clark
Carlisle
Bytel
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.04 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
57% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.05 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.1 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.06 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.