Fremantle v Greater Western Sydney
Perth Stadium
8.5
53
14.7
91
Greater Western Sydney won by 38 points
IN
Bewley
Frederick
OUT
IN
Ash
de Boer
Ward
Caldwell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 38.6 | -0.03 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
56% | 2 points | ✗ | 40.4 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 38.8 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.01 |
|
s10
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 37.6 | 0.02 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 35.2 | 0.13 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.17 |
|
|
58% | 4 points | ✓ | 33.6 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.