Western Bulldogs v Geelong
Carrara
9.7
61
10.12
72
Geelong won by 11 points
IN
Hayes
Dickson
Lipinski
Cavarra
OUT
IN
Tuohy
Taylor
Ratugolea
Clark
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.36 | |
76% | 18 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.60 | ||
70% | 13 points | ✓ | 1.8 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 15 points | ✓ | 4.4 | 0.48 | ||
70% | 21 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.48 | ||
Punters
|
66% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.40 | |
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.40 | ||
64% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.33 | ||
s10
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.33 | |
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.31 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.31 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.30 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.18 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.