Richmond v West Coast
Carrara
14.4
88
9.7
61
Richmond won by 27 points
IN
Dow
Nankervis
Stack
Chol
OUT
IN
Williams
Hutchings
Allen
Nelson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.26 | |
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.44 | ||
68% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.44 | ||
67% | 13 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.43 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.32 | ||
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.31 | ||
60% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.27 | ||
s10
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.27 | |
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 17.1 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 19.7 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 20.9 | 0.25 | ||
Punters
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.1 | 0.22 | |
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.16 | ||
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 21.4 | 0.15 | ||
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.08 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.