Hawthorn v Essendon
Adelaide Oval
10.11
71
13.9
87
Essendon won by 16 points
IN
Minchington
Ceglar
Gunston
Burgoyne
Impey
Stratton
OUT
IN
Daniher
Zerk-Thatcher
Phillips
Hooker
Bellchambers
Francis
Hurley
Draper
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.26 |
|
|
69% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.68 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 24.3 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✗ | 21.9 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 11 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.25 |
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.20 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.05 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.