Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions

Carrara
14.12
96
15.8
98

Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 2 points

IN
Ainsworth
Bowes
Schoenfeld
Witts
Lemmens
Hanley
Lyons
Ablett
Barlow
Day
Matera
Grant
Shaw
Davis
Hallahan
Brooksby
Fiorini
MacPherson
OUT
IN
Barrett
Close
Harwood
Robertson
Bewick
McStay
Beams
Hanley
Merrett
Walker
Mathieson
Dawson
Hammelmann
Clayton
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Gold Coast
67% 20 points 22.3-0.62
Footy Maths Institute
Gold Coast
78% 39 points 41.0-1.18
Punters
Gold Coast
74% -0.97
The Arc
Gold Coast
71% 19 points 21.0-0.79
Graft
Gold Coast
67% 18 points 20.0-0.58
Squiggle
Gold Coast
65% 22 points 24.0-0.51
Figuring Footy
Gold Coast
64% -0.47
Matter of Stats
Gold Coast
62% 10 points 11.6-0.39
PlusSixOne
Gold Coast
59% 14 points 16.0-0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 1, 2017