Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions
Carrara
14.12
96
15.8
98
Match complete
Brisbane Lions won by 2 points
IN
Ainsworth
Bowes
Schoenfeld
Witts
Lemmens
Hanley
Lyons
Ablett
Barlow
Day
Matera
Grant
Shaw
Davis
Hallahan
Brooksby
Fiorini
MacPherson
OUT
IN
Barrett
Close
Harwood
Robertson
Bewick
McStay
Beams
Hanley
Merrett
Walker
Mathieson
Dawson
Hammelmann
Clayton
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 20 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.62 | |
78% | 39 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -1.18 | ||
Punters | 74% | ✗ | -0.97 | |||
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.79 | ||
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.58 | ||
65% | 22 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.51 | ||
64% | ✗ | -0.47 | ||||
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.39 | ||
59% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.27 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.