Richmond v Fremantle
M.C.G.
15.20
110
4.9
33
Match complete
Richmond won by 77 points
IN
Townsend
Lloyd
Cotchin
Grigg
OUT
IN
Cox
Hughes
Walters
Johnson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 85% | 42 points | ✓ | 35.3 | 0.76 | |
94% | 53 points | ✓ | 24.2 | 0.92 | ||
91% | 42 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.87 | ||
91% | 55 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.86 | ||
89% | 41 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.83 | ||
87% | 42 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.81 | ||
86% | 55 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.78 | ||
86% | 47 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.78 | ||
Punters | 85% | ✓ | 0.77 | |||
83% | 34 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.74 | ||
79% | 34 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 41 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.63 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.