Adelaide v Carlton
2018-05-05 19:40:00
Adelaide Oval

19.11

125

10.10

70

Match complete
Adelaide won by 55 points

IN

Fogarty

Kelly

Betts

Walker

Knight

Poholke

OUT

IN

Graham

Garlett

Kreuzer

Curnow

Silvagni

Marchbank

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		86%	46 points	✓	9.1	0.79
		96%	56 points	✓	1.0	0.95
Punters		93%		✓		0.89
		92%	58 points	✓	3.0	0.88
		92%	49 points	✓	6.0	0.88
		91%	47 points	✓	8.3	0.87
		91%	49 points	✓	6.0	0.86
		90%	64 points	✓	9.0	0.85
		89%	43 points	✓	12.0	0.82
		88%	51 points	✓	4.0	0.82
		81%	48 points	✓	7.0	0.69
		78%	33 points	✓	22.0	0.64
		58%	7 points	✓	48.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.