Essendon v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
10.7
67
13.12
90
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 23 points
IN
Myers
Bellchambers
McKenna
Leuenberger
Merrett
Guelfi
OUT
IN
Whitecross
Sicily
Shiels
Henderson
Langford
Mirra
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.30 |
 |
|
75% | 23 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.58 |
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.41 |
 |
|
66% | 16 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.40 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 7.8 | 0.39 |
| Punters | |
64% | ✓ | 0.36 | ||
 |
|
62% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
60% | 13 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.26 |
 |
|
58% | 10 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
57% | 2 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.