Geelong v Greater Western Sydney
GMHBA Stadium
14.9
93
4.8
32
Match complete
Geelong won by 61 points
IN
Crameri
Selwood
Parsons
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Keeffe
Buckley
Cameron
Deledio
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 54.0 | 0.22 |
| Punters | |
69% | ✓ | 0.47 | ||
 |
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.39 |
 |
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 46.0 | 0.38 |
 |
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.35 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 50.0 | 0.30 |
 |
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.16 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 57.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 62.7 | -0.03 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 65.0 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.