Geelong v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
18.9
117
17.16
118
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 1 point
IN
Henry
O'Connor
Cockatoo
Stanley
Dangerfield
Smith
Duncan
Taylor
Murdoch
Ratugolea
OUT
IN
Brand
Frawley
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 10.7 | -0.29 |
 |
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.93 |
 |
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.92 |
 |
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.38 |
 |
|
61% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.34 |
 |
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
 |
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.29 |
| Punters | |
57% | ✗ | -0.23 | ||
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.3 | -0.14 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.07 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.04 |
 |
|
51% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.