Carlton v Gold Coast
Docklands
9.13
67
15.11
101
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 34 points
IN
Polson
O'Shea
Cuningham
Kreuzer
Silvagni
Kennedy
OUT
IN
Hall
Rosa
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 64% | 16 points | ✗ | 49.6 | -0.49 | |
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -1.32 | ||
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.81 | ||
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.81 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.74 | ||
69% | 25 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.69 | ||
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.51 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 45.6 | -0.46 | ||
Punters | 62% | ✗ | -0.41 | |||
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.40 | ||
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.36 | ||
57% | 11 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.20 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.