Adelaide v Richmond
Adelaide Oval
18.10
118
12.10
82
Match complete
Adelaide won by 36 points
IN
Milera
Walker
Douglas
Hampton
OUT
IN
Houli
Vlastuin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 56% | 6 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.16 | |
73% | 23 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.55 | ||
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.44 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.36 | ||
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 28.7 | 0.23 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 10 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.16 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✓ | 0.15 | |||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.13 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.00 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✗ | 66.0 | -1.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.