Carlton v Hawthorn
Docklands
12.5
77
10.10
70
Match complete
Carlton won by 7 points
IN
Byrne
Armfield
OUT
IN
O'Meara
Puopolo
Shiels
Miles
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.1 | -0.67 |
| Punters | |
75% | ✗ | -1.00 | ||
 |
|
75% | ✗ | -0.99 | ||
 |
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.79 |
 |
|
68% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.66 |
 |
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.59 |
 |
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.56 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.54 |
 |
|
61% | 18 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.37 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.