Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
9.5
59
10.10
70
Match complete
Geelong won by 11 points
IN
Daicos
Broomhead
Smith
De Goey
Fasolo
Goldsack
OUT
IN
Buzza
Duncan
Stanley
Parfitt
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.26 |
 |
|
73% | ✓ | 0.54 | ||
| Punters | |
64% | ✓ | 0.35 | ||
 |
|
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.34 |
 |
|
62% | 16 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.31 |
 |
|
59% | 15 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.24 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.16 |
 |
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.