Essendon v Carlton
M.C.G.
11.18
84
11.10
76
Match complete
Essendon won by 8 points
IN
Howlett
Ambrose
Green
Kelly
McGrath
Laverde
OUT
IN
Pickett
Smedts
Boekhorst
Armfield
White
Cuningham
Williamson
McKay
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
72% | 24 points | ✓ | 15.7 | 0.52 |
| Punters | |
78% | ✓ | 0.64 | ||
 |
|
76% | 27 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
74% | ✓ | 0.56 | ||
 |
|
72% | 25 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.53 |
 |
|
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.53 |
 |
|
70% | 34 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.48 |
 |
|
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.46 |
 |
|
65% | 19 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.