Western Bulldogs v Essendon
Docklands
19.13
127
13.19
97
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 30 points
IN
Webb
Cloke
Dickson
Morris
Redpath
Honeychurch
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 50% | 0 points | ✓ | 29.8 | 0.01 | |
59% | ✓ | 0.23 | ||||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 23.4 | 0.22 | ||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.05 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.11 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.15 | ||
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.15 | ||
Punters | 56% | ✗ | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.