Carlton v Geelong
Docklands
8.10
58
18.15
123
Match complete
Geelong won by 65 points
IN
Marchbank
White
Graham
Macreadie
OUT
IN
Buzza
Parfitt
Thurlow
Cockatoo
Mackie
Menzel
Blicavs
Motlop
Stanley
Guthrie
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 75% | 27 points | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.58 | |
85% | ✓ | 0.76 | ||||
77% | 32 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 25 points | ✓ | 40.2 | 0.61 | ||
76% | 35 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.60 | ||
Punters | 74% | ✓ | 0.56 | |||
73% | 21 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.54 | ||
71% | 35 points | ✓ | 30.0 | 0.50 | ||
67% | 17 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.