Richmond v Greater Western Sydney

M.C.G.
9.10
64
6.9
45

Match complete
Richmond won by 19 points

IN
Ellis
Miles
OUT
IN
Setterfield
de Boer
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
52% 4 points 23.2-0.06
PlusSixOne
Greater Western Sydney
64% 23 points 42.0-0.46
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
57% -0.23
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
55% 7 points 26.0-0.15
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 22.0-0.09
Graft
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 22.0-0.09
Figuring Footy
Richmond
53% 0.09
The Arc
Richmond
54% 3 points 16.00.10
Matter of Stats
Richmond
59% 8 points 11.40.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2017