Adelaide v Geelong

Adelaide Oval
13.13
91
10.10
70

Match complete
Adelaide won by 21 points

IN
Keath
Lever
OUT
IN
Stewart
Selwood
Parfitt
Simpson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
67% 21 points 0.40.43
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
77% 27 points 5.60.62
Squiggle
Adelaide
74% 25 points 4.00.57
Graft
Adelaide
70% 22 points 1.00.48
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
69% 25 points 4.00.46
The Arc
Adelaide
67% 16 points 5.00.43
Punters
Adelaide
63% 0.34
Figuring Footy
Adelaide
63% 0.33
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
56% 9 points 12.00.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 18, 2017