Brisbane Lions v Geelong
Gabba
11.12
78
25.13
163
Match complete
Geelong won by 85 points
IN
Hammelmann
Beams
Gardiner
Barrett
OUT
IN
Parfitt
Selwood
Black
Simpson
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 77% | 33 points | ✓ | 51.7 | 0.63 | |
84% | ✓ | 0.74 | ||||
80% | 42 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 33 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.66 | ||
77% | 48 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.62 | ||
Punters | 76% | ✓ | 0.60 | |||
75% | 29 points | ✓ | 56.0 | 0.59 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.57 | ||
73% | 25 points | ✓ | 60.1 | 0.55 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.