Brisbane Lions v Geelong

Gabba
11.12
78
25.13
163

Match complete
Geelong won by 85 points

IN
Hammelmann
Beams
Gardiner
Barrett
OUT
IN
Parfitt
Selwood
Black
Simpson
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Geelong
77% 33 points 51.70.63
Figuring Footy
Geelong
84% 0.74
Footy Maths Institute
Geelong
80% 42 points 43.00.68
Squiggle
Geelong
79% 33 points 52.00.66
PlusSixOne
Geelong
77% 48 points 37.00.62
Punters
Geelong
76% 0.60
Graft
Geelong
75% 29 points 56.00.59
The Arc
Geelong
74% 23 points 62.00.57
Matter of Stats
Geelong
73% 25 points 60.10.55

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 16, 2017