Collingwood v Essendon
M.C.G.
12.8
80
18.9
117
Match complete
Essendon won by 37 points
IN
Scharenberg
Smith
Varcoe
Reid
Howe
Moore
Phillips
Ramsay
OUT
IN
Myers
Langford
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 38.2 | -0.06 |
 |
|
58% | ✗ | -0.27 | ||
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.15 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.05 |
| Punters | |
51% | ✗ | -0.02 | ||
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.