Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
2017-07-07 19:50:00
Adelaide Oval

16.8

104

5.15

45

Match complete
Adelaide won by 59 points

IN

Otten

Thompson

Cameron

Hartigan

Greenwood

Beech

OUT

IN

Smith

Roberts

Boyd

Liberatore

Dickson

Biggs

Murphy

Campbell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		73%	26 points	✓	33.2	0.54
		77%	32 points	✓	27.0	0.63
		76%	26 points	✓	33.3	0.61
		74%		✓		0.57
		74%	31 points	✓	28.0	0.57
		74%	26 points	✓	33.0	0.57
		72%	21 points	✓	38.0	0.53
Punters		72%		✓		0.53
		62%	19 points	✓	40.0	0.30

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.