Geelong v Fremantle
GMHBA Stadium
10.14
74
11.6
72
Match complete
Geelong won by 2 points
IN
Horlin-Smith
Blicavs
Hawkins
Smith
Henderson
Cockatoo
OUT
IN
Deluca
Darcy
Logue
Ballantyne
Suban
Fyfe
Sutcliffe
Griffin
Collins
Grey
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
86% | 46 points | ✓ | 43.6 | 0.79 |
| Punters | |
91% | ✓ | 0.87 | ||
 |
|
90% | 51 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.85 |
 |
|
90% | ✓ | 0.85 | ||
 |
|
88% | 50 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.82 |
 |
|
87% | 40 points | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.79 |
 |
|
86% | 40 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.79 |
 |
|
84% | 50 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.75 |
 |
|
75% | 43 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.58 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.