Fremantle v Collingwood
Subiaco
12.13
85
15.15
105
Match complete
Collingwood won by 20 points
IN
Ryan
Langdon
Pearce
Ibbotson
OUT
IN
Crocker
Ramsay
Fasolo
Blair
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 53% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.4 | 0.07 | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.33 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.21 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.14 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✓ | 0.13 | |||
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.11 | ||
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 | ||
58% | ✗ | -0.25 | ||||
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.