Greater Western Sydney v Essendon
2017-06-03 16:35:00
Sydney Showground

18.9

117

15.11

101

Match complete
Greater Western Sydney won by 16 points

IN

Scully

Mohr

OUT

IN

Howlett

Stanton

Gleeson

Kelly

Parish

Dea

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		83%	43 points	✓	27.2	0.73
		89%		✓		0.83
		88%	59 points	✓	43.0	0.82
		88%	49 points	✓	33.0	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	24.9	0.79
		83%	41 points	✓	25.0	0.73
		82%	33 points	✓	17.0	0.72
Punters		76%		✓		0.60
		71%	36 points	✓	20.0	0.50

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.