Geelong v North Melbourne
Docklands
17.10
112
17.9
111
Match complete
Geelong won by 1 point
IN
Lang
Cockatoo
OUT
IN
Garner
Mullett
Daw
Cunnington
Goldstein
Waite
Mountford
Hibberd
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
71% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.3 | 0.50 |
| Punters | |
81% | ✓ | 0.70 | ||
 |
|
76% | 36 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.60 |
 |
|
74% | ✓ | 0.57 | ||
 |
|
70% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.48 |
 |
|
68% | 30 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.44 |
 |
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 13.7 | 0.41 |
 |
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.40 |
 |
|
63% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.33 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.