Geelong v Adelaide
GMHBA Stadium
13.18
96
10.14
74
Match complete
Geelong won by 22 points
IN
Cockatoo
Lonergan
Bews
Cunico
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 51% | 2 points | ✗ | 24.1 | -0.03 | |
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 29.6 | -0.21 | ||
Punters | 55% | ✗ | -0.17 | |||
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.12 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.09 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.06 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.03 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.12 | ||
59% | ✓ | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.