Geelong v Adelaide

GMHBA Stadium
13.18
96
10.14
74

Match complete
Geelong won by 22 points

IN
Cockatoo
Lonergan
Bews
Cunico
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
51% 2 points 24.1-0.03
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
57% 8 points 29.6-0.21
Punters
Adelaide
55% -0.17
Graft
Adelaide
54% 4 points 26.0-0.12
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
53% 3 points 25.0-0.09
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
52% 3 points 25.0-0.06
Squiggle
Geelong
51% 1 point 21.00.03
The Arc
Geelong
54% 4 points 18.00.12
Figuring Footy
Geelong
59% 0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 11, 2017