Brisbane Lions v Essendon

Gabba
12.12
84
17.9
111

Match complete
Essendon won by 27 points

IN
Frost
Keays
OUT
IN
Howlett
Green
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Essendon
54% 4 points 22.90.10
Punters
Essendon
67% 0.42
PlusSixOne
Essendon
65% 24 points 3.00.37
Matter of Stats
Essendon
57% 8 points 19.30.18
Figuring Footy
Essendon
50% 0.01
Squiggle
Essendon
50% 2 points 25.00.00
Footy Maths Institute
Brisbane Lions
50% 1 point 28.00.00
Graft
Brisbane Lions
53% 3 points 30.0-0.09
The Arc
Brisbane Lions
56% 5 points 32.0-0.17

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2017