Brisbane Lions v Essendon
Gabba
12.12
84
17.9
111
Match complete
Essendon won by 27 points
IN
Frost
Keays
OUT
IN
Howlett
Green
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 54% | 4 points | ✓ | 22.9 | 0.10 | |
Punters | 67% | ✓ | 0.42 | |||
65% | 24 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.37 | ||
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 19.3 | 0.18 | ||
50% | ✓ | 0.01 | ||||
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 25.0 | 0.00 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 28.0 | 0.00 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.09 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.17 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.