Fremantle v Carlton
Subiaco
13.8
86
7.9
51
Match complete
Fremantle won by 35 points
IN
Hill
Tucker
OUT
IN
Cuningham
White
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 15 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.40 | |
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.52 | ||
Punters | 71% | ✓ | 0.50 | |||
70% | ✓ | 0.48 | ||||
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.45 | ||
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.38 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.29 | ||
54% | 7 points | ✓ | 28.0 | 0.12 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.