Brisbane Lions v Adelaide
Gabba
7.18
60
21.14
140
Match complete
Adelaide won by 80 points
IN
McCluggage
Hammelmann
Beams
Rockliff
Bewick
Schache
OUT
IN
Greenwood
Gallucci
Lever
Jenkins
Mackay
Menzel
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
88% | 55 points | ✓ | 25.2 | 0.81 |
 |
|
94% | 66 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.91 |
 |
|
91% | 55 points | ✓ | 25.3 | 0.87 |
 |
|
90% | 65 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.85 |
| Punters | |
89% | ✓ | 0.84 | ||
 |
|
88% | 49 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.81 |
 |
|
85% | ✓ | 0.77 | ||
 |
|
84% | 35 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.74 |
 |
|
82% | 59 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.71 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.