Hawthorn v Adelaide
M.C.G.
13.11
89
16.17
113
Match complete
Adelaide won by 24 points
IN
Miles
Burton
Stewart
Hodge
Hartung
Duryea
Sicily
Schoenmakers
OUT
IN
Walker
Menzel
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 57% | 10 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.18 | |
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.40 | ||
64% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.36 | ||
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.16 | ||
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.14 | ||
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.13 | ||
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.08 | ||
52% | ✓ | 0.07 | ||||
Punters | 52% | ✓ | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.