Hawthorn v Adelaide

M.C.G.
13.11
89
16.17
113

Match complete
Adelaide won by 24 points

IN
Miles
Burton
Stewart
Hodge
Hartung
Duryea
Sicily
Schoenmakers
OUT
IN
Walker
Menzel
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
57% 10 points 14.30.18
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
66% 17 points 7.10.40
Graft
Adelaide
64% 15 points 9.00.36
The Arc
Adelaide
56% 5 points 19.00.16
Squiggle
Adelaide
55% 9 points 15.00.14
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
55% 8 points 16.00.13
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
53% 4 points 20.00.08
Figuring Footy
Adelaide
52% 0.07
Punters
Adelaide
52% 0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 2, 2017