Melbourne v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
14.7
91
14.10
94
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 3 points
IN
Wagner
Hogan
Melksham
Neal-Bullen
OUT
IN
Birchall
Rioli
Brand
O'Meara
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 57% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.20 | |
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.3 | -0.50 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✗ | -0.47 | |||
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.31 | ||
57% | ✗ | -0.23 | ||||
57% | 12 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.22 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.15 | ||
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.06 | ||
57% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.