Western Bulldogs v Richmond
Docklands
11.14
80
11.9
75
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 5 points
IN
Boyd
Dale
OUT
IN
Soldo
Elton
Ellis
Miles
Prestia
Nankervis
Morris
Conca
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 67% | 20 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.42 | |
74% | 22 points | ✓ | 17.2 | 0.57 | ||
Punters | 74% | ✓ | 0.56 | |||
71% | 25 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.51 | ||
68% | 24 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.44 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.36 | ||
63% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.34 | ||
63% | 21 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.33 | ||
57% | ✓ | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.