Gold Coast v Geelong
Carrara
18.16
124
15.9
99
Match complete
Gold Coast won by 25 points
IN
Scheer
Swallow
Kolodjashnij
May
Lonergan
Shaw
Fiorini
Bowes
OUT
IN
Parsons
Thurlow
Stanley
Menzel
Smith
Henderson
Stewart
Parfitt
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 69% | 24 points | ✗ | 49.4 | -0.69 | |
75% | 34 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -1.00 | ||
73% | 28 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.89 | ||
72% | 25 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.85 | ||
70% | ✗ | -0.75 | ||||
69% | 32 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.70 | ||
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.58 | ||
Punters | 64% | ✗ | -0.47 | |||
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.