Adelaide v Richmond

M.C.G.

60

108

Match complete
Richmond won by 48 points

TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Adelaide
57% 11 points 58.6-0.21
Squiggle
Adelaide
85% 41 points 89.0-1.77
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
63% 21 points 69.0-0.43
Footy Maths Institute
Adelaide
60% 12 points 60.0-0.32
Punters
Adelaide
58% -0.26
Matter of Stats
Richmond
51% 1 point 46.60.02
Figuring Footy
Richmond
53% 0.08
Graft
Richmond
53% 3 points 45.00.08
The Arc
Richmond
56% 6 points 42.00.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 27, 2017